Wow, so many VIP's dying in the last few days.

pontiac428 said:
Don't worry, India and China are maintaining the Malthusian exponential growth curve as predicted.
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India maybe, China is collapsing due to the one child policy and parents killing that child if it was a girl in order to get a son.
I'd link to Zeihan's discussion on that topic but it's exactly what got me in trouble before.
 
Most of those that I saw had passed were at least into their 90’s. Maybe at 89, I’ll feel differently, but I think they all had a pretty good run. Most likely by the time I would be 90, I will have been dead for 13 years.
 
MrWhoopee said:
India maybe, China is collapsing due to the one child policy and parents killing that child if it was a girl in order to get a son.
I'd link to Zeihan's discussion on that topic but it's exactly what got me in trouble before.
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When you put it that way, it does sound like ginned-up political talk. Like, all the people in China are killing their daughters because of a draconian law and lack of freedom. It's a poor cause-and-effect relationship meant to stir emotional reaction in your "gut", very much like the type of discourse used by a popular American a three-lettered "news" agency.
 
MrWhoopee said:
Careful, I got my hand slapped when I linked one of his videos.

The U.S. birth rate has been below replacement rate for quite a while. Immigration has been responsible for keeping our population from falling.
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And best I remember he attributes our demographics to that. we actually fell sharply during the gen X period and the Minimals are a much larger slice but still not above replacement without immigration. I really do not mind immigration if it is done correctly, legally and folks are properly vetted.
 
MrWhoopee said:
India maybe, China is collapsing due to the one child policy and parents killing that child if it was a girl in order to get a son.
I'd link to Zeihan's discussion on that topic but it's exactly what got me in trouble before.
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China is in trouble, they haven't been the largest population in several years and 60% of their population is over 45 YO.
 
Why does it sound ginned-up, @pontiac428 ? I mean, China currently has a huge slant toward males for the age group in question. The one-child policy was an actual thing. And all rural populations have used children as a retirement policy for, I dunno, all of human history or something like that. Why does "they did whatever was necessary to insure that the one child allowed was a male that could provide in their waning years" sound ginned-up? I'd call it reasonably expected behavior.
 
pontiac428 said:
When you put it that way, it does sound like ginned-up political talk. Like, all the people in China are killing their daughters because of a draconian law and lack of freedom. It's a poor cause-and-effect relationship meant to stir emotional reaction in your "gut", very much like the type of discourse used by a popular American a three-lettered "news" agency.
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They, China, have admitted to over counting their population by 1.2 million over their last census...
 
Shotgun said:
Why does it sound ginned-up, @pontiac428 ? I mean, China currently has a huge slant toward males for the age group in question. The one-child policy was an actual thing. And all rural populations have used children as a retirement policy for, I dunno, all of human history or something like that. Why does "they did whatever was necessary to insure that the one child allowed was a male that could provide in their waning years" sound ginned-up? I'd call it reasonably expected behavior.
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And to carry on the family name.
 
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