Corona-Just My Thoughts Only

It's the first time the world was shut down in my 63 years.

This is the part for me that says this is different. If it were just here shutting down then there might be a point to the over-hype or conspiracy theories, but nearly every country is reacting in a similar way. You rarely see such agreement, so either this is more serious than the other epidemics in my lifetime, or it is the best organized conspiracy in the history of conspiracies.
 
What would happen to the virus if it couldn't find a new host?
In other words, All of us stayed in doors in our shops for two weeks.
I would be willing to do it!!
I have beer in the frig. :)
Where do we sign up to stay in our shop for two weeks?

You mean ............where do we sign up to stay two weeks in Jeff's shop ! :grin:
 
This is a quote I found online about covid by countries, I guess by culture Japan is more compliant with authority in general. They are at the bottom of the graphs, and were one of the first countries to be infected. They were requested not to gather. You can make your own inferences from the quote.

While people were not forced to remain at home, they did in general. The citizens of Japan have complied with authority from the very beginning of the pandemic.
 
Interestingly enough, the computer modeling says that the virus would disappear if everybody isolated for two weeks. This is an undergraduate lower division computer science assignment. That is a silly question, however. Didn't some famous politician say something like if pigs had wings they could fly -- I don't answer hypothetical questions. (Sorry, politics, I'll stop there, although that quote is a favorite of scientists). The more interesting question is what happens if there is a slight imperfection in the isolation. Surprisingly, it doesn't take much. A very tiny amount of leakage insures that the virus does not die out, and you get a very quiet and almost unnoticed epidemic with a very flat morbidity/mortality curve. Nonetheless, the area under the curve ends up being your entire population, and you have just succeeded in stretching out the duration of the epidemic without significantly reducing the number of casualties. If you can stretch it out long enough, the virus can mutate so that you have to start the whole process again. This is an upper division computer science homework problem. How to prevent the above gloomy scenario from occurring is a doctoral level or higher problem, and it is probably not just in computer science.
 
I've had the same thought, that the longer we keep bumbling about, the more time it gives the virus to mutate, which they always do, perhaps ending up with a variant much more deadly, like happened in late 1917 (or was it 1918). Or, maybe it'll change into something harmless and just goes away. I'm pretty much resigned to thinking that we'll all get it one way or another. Wearing masks slows the spread but doesn't stop it, in order to not overload the medical services, which is a very worthwhile effort.
 
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We've been lucky in our area. Our health district covers about 180,000 people, so far only 122 positive cases, and only 4 hospitalized.
An hour ago on the news 2 American's from Pennsylvania have been charged under the quarantine act for not self isolating for 14 days. Both were fined $1000.00 plus costs and may be escorted back to the U.S. They were only a hours drive from me. I'm not bashing Americans as we have Canadians who have done the same. These people were lucky as the max fine under the act is $750,000 and 1 year prison time.
 
Interestingly enough, the computer modeling says that the virus would disappear if everybody isolated for two weeks. This is an undergraduate lower division computer science assignment.
I could be wrong, very wrong, but the reason this is a "novel" virus is because it is a new virus we have NEVER seen and this also means that it is here to stay.
 
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